ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)

Last Price$192.610.7%
Market Cap$41.2bn
Intrinsic value score
3/10
Bad
Intrinsic value
$64.6
DCF value - $35.5 Relative value - $93.7
Overvalued
198%
LTM P/E
32.6x
Peer set median: 64.4x
Discount rate
9.1%

ODFL Intrinsic value

ODFL Intrinsic value overview

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ODFL Historical intrinsic value

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ODFL Relative value

ODFL Valuation multiples overview

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ODFL vs Peer Set Valuation Multiples Dynamics

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ODFL DCF sensitivity

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DCF Value sensitivity
DCF Value sensitivity does not provide scenarios of ODFL undervaluation

ODFL Discount rate (WACC)

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Positive ROIC / WACC ratio
ODFL LTM ROIC (37.2%) is higher than recent WACC (9.1%), indicating a strong value creation

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FAQ

What is the DCF value of Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)?

As of today, DCF Value of Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is $35.5, which is overvalued by 198%, compared to the current market share price of $192.6

How was the DCF Value calculated?

Step 1: Calculating Intrinsic Enterprise Value DCF Value was calculated by estimating Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. future free cash flow and then discounting it, using a chosen discount rate to determine Intrinsic Enterprise Value of 7.7B Step 2: Balance Sheet Adjustments Intrinsic Equity Value is calculated by subtracting Balance Sheet items (Cash & Equivalents, Short-term investments and Total Debt) from previously calculated Intrinsic Enterprise Value. This Intrinsic Equity Value is then divided by the total number of outstanding shares of 216369000 to determine DCF Value of $35.5

What is the Relative value of Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)?

As of today, Relative Value of Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is $93.7, which is undervalued by 51.4%, compared to the current market share price of $192.6

How was the Relative Value calculated?

Relative Value was calculated by applying various valuation multiples (EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, P/E etc.) to Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. financials to determine Relative Value of $93.7

What is Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) discount rate?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. current Cost of Equity is 9.1%, while its WACC stands at 9.1%. Cost of Equity is used to value equity, while discounting free cash flow to equity holders (such as Net Income or Free Cash Flow to Equity). Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is used to value the entire firm, while discounting cash flows available to both debt and equity holders (NOPAT or Free Cash Flow to the Firm)

How is Cost of Equity for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) calculated?

The Cost of Equity represents the return a company must offer investors to compensate for the risk of investing in its stock. It's calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which combines the risk-free rate, the stock's beta, and the equity risk premium (ERP). This model considers the inherent risk of investing in the stock compared to a risk-free investment and the market's overall risk. Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Beta x Effective Risk Premium (ERP) 9.1% = 4.13% + 1 x 5%

How is WACC for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) calculated?

WACC, or Weighted Average Cost of Capital, is a calculation that reflects the average rate of return a company is expected to pay its security holders to finance its assets. It is a critical measure in financial analysis for valuing a company’s entire operations. The WACC formula combines the costs of equity and debt, weighted by their respective proportions in the company's capital structure. WACC = Cost of Equity x Equity Weight in Total Capital + Cost of Debt x (1 - Effective Tax Rate) Debt Weight in Total Capital 9.1% = 9.1% x 99.8% + 0.5% x (1 - 25%) x 0.2%