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CNI

Canadian National Railway Company (CNI)

Last Price$111.80.5%
Market Cap$73.6B
Intrinsic value score
10/10
Great
Intrinsic value
$118.0
DCF value - $123.8 Relative value - $112.2
Undervalued
5.6%
LTM P/E
17.0x
Peer set median: 51.9x
Discount rate
6.9%

CNI Intrinsic value

CNI Intrinsic value overview

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CNI Historical intrinsic value

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CNI Relative value

CNI Valuation multiples overview

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CNI vs Peer Set Valuation Multiples Dynamics

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CNI DCF sensitivity

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CNI Discount rate (WACC)

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FAQ

What is the DCF value of Canadian National Railway Company (CNI)?

As of today, DCF Value of Canadian National Railway Company is $123.8, which is undervalued by 10.8%, compared to the current market share price of $111.8

How was the DCF Value calculated?

Step 1: Calculating Intrinsic Enterprise Value DCF Value was calculated by estimating Canadian National Railway Company future free cash flow and then discounting it, using a chosen discount rate to determine Intrinsic Enterprise Value of $112.1B Step 2: Balance Sheet Adjustments Intrinsic Equity Value is calculated by subtracting Balance Sheet items (Cash & Equivalents, Short-term investments and Total Debt) from previously calculated Intrinsic Enterprise Value. This Intrinsic Equity Value is then divided by the total number of outstanding shares of 635,000,000 to determine DCF Value of $123.8

What is the Relative value of Canadian National Railway Company (CNI)?

As of today, Relative Value of Canadian National Railway Company is $112.2, which is undervalued by 0.4%, compared to the current market share price of $111.8

How was the Relative Value calculated?

Relative Value was calculated by applying various valuation multiples (EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, P/E etc.) to Canadian National Railway Company financials to determine Relative Value of $112.2

What is Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) discount rate?

Canadian National Railway Company current Cost of Equity is 7.8%, while its WACC stands at 6.9%. Cost of Equity is used to value equity, while discounting free cash flow to equity holders (such as Net Income or Free Cash Flow to Equity). Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is used to value the entire firm, while discounting cash flows available to both debt and equity holders (NOPAT or Free Cash Flow to the Firm)

How is Cost of Equity for Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) calculated?

The Cost of Equity represents the return a company must offer investors to compensate for the risk of investing in its stock. It's calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which combines the risk-free rate, the stock's beta, and the equity risk premium (ERP). This model considers the inherent risk of investing in the stock compared to a risk-free investment and the market's overall risk. Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Beta x Effective Risk Premium (ERP) 7.8% = 4.52% + 0.7 x 5.0%

How is WACC for Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) calculated?

WACC, or Weighted Average Cost of Capital, is a calculation that reflects the average rate of return a company is expected to pay its security holders to finance its assets. It is a critical measure in financial analysis for valuing a company’s entire operations. The WACC formula combines the costs of equity and debt, weighted by their respective proportions in the company's capital structure. WACC = Cost of Equity x Equity Weight in Total Capital + Cost of Debt x (1 - Effective Tax Rate) Debt Weight in Total Capital 6.9% = 7.8% x 81.8% + 4.2% x (1 - 24.5%) x 18.2%